Mind Mapping for Scenario Planning

Daniel Rasmus explains how mind mapping supports scenario planning by structuring complex uncertainties and turning them into strategic narratives. He demonstrates how maps evolve from idea capture through to multi-dimensional modelling using tools like The Brain. The session combines method, examples, and application to show how organisations can use scenarios to test strategy and prepare for uncertain futures. 00:00:56 Introduction to Scenario Planning and Context Overview of Daniel’s work in scenario planning and its role in strategy, innovation, and future thinking. 00:02:33 Visualising Complexity with Scenario Models Use of structured visual environments to represent complex, multi-dimensional uncertainties. 00:04:09 Starting Point: Defining Critical Uncertainties Scenario planning begins by identifying what cannot be known about the future. 00:07:22 What Scenario Planning Is and How It Works Building futures by selecting key uncertainties and structuring them into a scenario matrix. 00:09:46 Creating Distinct Future Narratives Each quadrant becomes a unique story, used to explore different strategic environments. 00:10:39 Using Scenarios for Strategic Decision-Making Organisations test viability, risks, and opportunities across multiple possible futures. 00:11:29 Using Mind Maps to Structure Scenario Content Mind maps provide the framework for organising uncertainties and building scenario logic. 00:13:02 Translating Structure into Narrative and Storytelling Maps guide the creation of detailed future stories, ensuring all key factors are included. 00:17:12 From Mind Map to Scenario Model (The Brain) Transition from idea capture in mind maps to richer, multi-dimensional modelling tools. 00:18:51 Research, Data Gathering, and Map Construction Mind maps support capturing research, linking sources, and building structured knowledge. 00:20:24 Embedding Process and Workflow into Maps Maps track progress, manage tasks, and support iterative development of scenario outputs. 00:23:51 Frameworks and Starting Structures (STEEP/Pestle) Structured lenses (social, technological, economic, environmental, political) guide exploration of uncertainties. Featuring The Brain, iThoughts